Parameter estimates of the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak in Costa Rica: An Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach
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Autores: | , , |
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Formato: | artículo original |
Fecha de Publicación: | 2019 |
Descripción: | In Costa Rica, the first known cases of Zika were reported in 2016. We looked at the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak and explored the transmission dynamics using weekly reported data. A nonlinear differential equation single-outbreak model with sexual transmission, as well as host availability for vector-feeding was used to estimate key parameters, fit the data and compute the basic reproductive number, R0, distribution. Furthermore, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis was computed based on the R0 parameters. |
País: | Kérwá |
Institución: | Universidad de Costa Rica |
Repositorio: | Kérwá |
Lenguaje: | Inglés |
OAI Identifier: | oai:https://www.kerwa.ucr.ac.cr:10669/83432 |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2019136 https://hdl.handle.net/10669/83432 |
Access Level: | acceso abierto |
Palabra clave: | Zika virus Basic reproductive number Approximate Bayesian Computation Public health Transmission dynamics Epidemic models Vector-borne diseases |