Parameter estimates of the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak in Costa Rica: An Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach

 

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Sánchez Peña, Fabio Ariel, Barboza Chinchilla, Luis Alberto, Vásquez Brenes, Paola Andrea
Format: artículo original
Publication Date:2019
Description:In Costa Rica, the first known cases of Zika were reported in 2016. We looked at the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak and explored the transmission dynamics using weekly reported data. A nonlinear differential equation single-outbreak model with sexual transmission, as well as host availability for vector-feeding was used to estimate key parameters, fit the data and compute the basic reproductive number, R0, distribution. Furthermore, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis was computed based on the R0 parameters.
Country:Kérwá
Institution:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Kérwá
Language:Inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:kerwa.ucr.ac.cr:10669/83432
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2019136
https://hdl.handle.net/10669/83432
Access Level:acceso abierto
Keyword:Zika virus
Basic reproductive number
Approximate Bayesian Computation
Public health
Transmission dynamics
Epidemic models
Vector-borne diseases