Predicting Cardiovascular Risk in a Primary Care Population Using Machine Learning

 

Đã lưu trong:
Chi tiết về thư mục
Nhiều tác giả: Troncoso-Espinosa, Fredy, Marín-Durán, Juan San
Định dạng: artículo original
Trạng thái:Versión publicada
Ngày xuất bản:2025
Miêu tả:Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) represent a global health challenge, being the leading cause of mortality worldwide in 2023. This study constructs predictive models to estimate an individual’s risk of developing CVD. The study population comprises users of the Centro de Salud Familiar Portezuelo (CESFAM) through the 2023 chronic and preventive program. Four predictive models were employed: Decision Tree, Neural Network, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Naive Bayes. The SVM algorithm demonstrated superior performance, achieving over 85% in the evaluated metrics. High-importance attributes were identified, categorized as modifiable behavioral and metabolic factors, with an optimal threshold value of 0.45 to distinguish between patients likely and unlikely to develop CVD. These findings enable the development of a preventive plan to reduce the CVD rate in the study population. In conclusion, the predictive model proves to be an effective complementary tool for clinical decision-making.
Quốc gia:Portal de Revistas TEC
Tổ chức giáo dục:Instituto Tecnológico de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas TEC
Ngôn ngữ:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/7167
Truy cập trực tuyến:https://revistas.tec.ac.cr/index.php/tec_marcha/article/view/7167
Từ khóa:Preventive Medicine
Cardiovascular Diseases
Machine Learning
Medicina Preventiva
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares