Uncertainty in Land Value Modeling of the San José Metropolitan Region, Costa Rica

 

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلفون: Pérez Molina, Eduardo, Vargas Aguilar, Darío
التنسيق: artículo original
الحالة:Versión publicada
تاريخ النشر:2023
الوصف:Land value patterns show very distinct spatial associations with accessibility to urban centralities and physical factors in a territory. However, predictions based on models of this structure can be highly uncertain, as the underlying data also may show clustering (thus allowing for better predictions in more densely sampled areas). An assessment of this uncertainty for land value extrapolations in the the San José Metropolitan Region of Costa Rica is presented, via conditional Gaussian simulation, and the determinants of this uncertainty were explored, to find spatial strengths and weaknesses in the modeling efforts. The E-Type prediction from the conditional Gaussian simulation was found to marginally improve on ordinary kriging methods and it also provided explicit uncertainty patterns, which are the inverse of the land value prediction. The estimated uncertainty was found to decrease with characteristics that identify suitability for urban land use (and thus higher land values).
البلد:Portal de Revistas UCR
المؤسسة:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
اللغة:Inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/56618
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/56618
كلمة مفتاحية:Extrapolation
land values
sequential Gaussian
simulation
spatial factors
uncertainty
Extrapolación
factores espaciales
incertidumbre
simulación gaussiana secuencial
valor del suelo