The use of multilayer perceptrons for statistical modeling SO2 non linear time series in Salta Capital, Argentina

 

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Auteurs: Musso, Haydeé Elena, Ávila Blas, Orlando José
Format: artículo original
Statut:Versión publicada
Date de publication:2013
Description:In this paper a statistical study of phisical-chemistry variables connected with enviroment pollution, specifically SO2 monthly average concentration, measured in Salta Capital city, Argentina, together with NO2 and O3 concentrations, was made. Time series under study shown non linear dinamic behaviour, outliers and structural changes. Due to these it was impossible to use typical econometric typologies (AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, among others). Aneffective solution which uses multistep perceptrons theory was found. By using structural time series modelling, this solution is presentedby an iterative mathematical process that allows us to obtain a finalmodel with a high confidence level (95%) in order to do thefore casting step on the studied variable.
Pays:Portal de Revistas UCR
Institution:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
Langue:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:archivo.portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/8479
Accès en ligne:https://archivo.revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/matematica/article/view/8479
Mots-clés:time series
modelling
multistep perceptrons
air pollution
sulfure dioxide
passive sampling
series de tiempo
modelización
perceptrones multicapa
contaminación ambiental
dióxido de azufre
muestreo pasivo