Inflation expectations in Costa Rica

 

Salvato in:
Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori: Alfaro Ureña, Alonso, Monge Badilla, Carlos
Natura: artículo original
Status:Versión publicada
Data di pubblicazione:2014
Descrizione:The Banco Central de Costa Rica (BCCR) is currently transitioning to an Inflation Targeting (IT) regime. In such context, it is relevant for the monetary authority to characterize in the most complete way possible the inflation expectations of the population, both in the particular elements of the forecasts and in the processes by which agents take information into account for their individual predictions. This paper documents the analysis of the inflation expectations data contained in the Monthly Survey of Inflation and Exchange Rate Expectations. We test several hypotheses such as rational and adaptive expectations. The results show significant biases in those expectations, while there is also a lack of learning from past errors by the agents surveyed.
Stato:Portal de Revistas UCR
Istituzione:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
Lingua:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:archivo.portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/15054
Accesso online:https://archivo.revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/economicas/article/view/15054
Keyword:METAS DE INFLACIÓN
ENCUESTAS
BANCA CENTRAL
EXPECTATIVAS RACIONALES
EXPECTATIVAS ADAPTATIVAS
INFLATION TARGETING
SURVEYS
CENTRAL BANKING
RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
ADAPTATIVE EXPECTATIONS