Parameter estimates of the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak in Costa Rica: An Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach
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| Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | artículo original |
| Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
| Descrição: | In Costa Rica, the first known cases of Zika were reported in 2016. We looked at the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak and explored the transmission dynamics using weekly reported data. A nonlinear differential equation single-outbreak model with sexual transmission, as well as host availability for vector-feeding was used to estimate key parameters, fit the data and compute the basic reproductive number, R0, distribution. Furthermore, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis was computed based on the R0 parameters. |
| País: | Kérwá |
| Recursos: | Universidad de Costa Rica |
| Repositorio: | Kérwá |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:kerwa.ucr.ac.cr:10669/83432 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2019136 https://hdl.handle.net/10669/83432 |
| Palavra-chave: | Zika virus Basic reproductive number Approximate Bayesian Computation Public health Transmission dynamics Epidemic models Vector-borne diseases |