Impact on safety stock due to the use of the standard deviation of forecast errors

 

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف: Arias-Vargas, Marco
التنسيق: artículo original
الحالة:Versión publicada
تاريخ النشر:2017
الوصف:It is common to use the standard deviation of the historical data in safety stock calculations, but this is the same as assuming that the forecasting model will be a simple average, thus this can lead to an unnecessary increase in the safety stock investment.  In order to avoid that situation, the standard deviation  of the forecasts errors must be used, and this, along with the right selection of the forecasting model, will lead to a reduction in the safety stock, maintaining the same service level.  The impact of the mentioned reduction in this investment could be high as in the examples of two companies shown in this article, where they have opportunities of reductions of more than 40% in the safety stock.
البلد:Portal de Revistas TEC
المؤسسة:Instituto Tecnológico de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas TEC
اللغة:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/3064
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://revistas.tec.ac.cr/index.php/tec_marcha/article/view/3064
كلمة مفتاحية:Desviación estándar
error de pronóstico
desviación absoluta media
inventario de seguridad
factor de seguridad
tiempo de reaprovisionamiento
Standard deviation
forecast error
mean absolute deviation
safety stock
safety factor
lead time