Econometric modeling of Lamuyo and Blocky sweet pepper seed demand in Costa Rica using univariate time series
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| Format: | artículo |
| Status: | Versión publicada |
| Publikationsdatum: | 2017 |
| Beschreibung: | A research was carried out to estimate the demand for commercial vegetable hybrid seed, in this case, the hybrid seed of Lamuyo and Blocky type sweet pepper. The interest is to contribute to the reduction of uncertainty in the strategic planning of companies interested in venturing this seed production of hybrids as a result of genetic improvement achieved by local initiatives. The annual time series of the harvested area of sweet pepper was used as a basis to create a forecast model and from the analysis of the import statistics, it was estimated the probability that found a sweet pepper and the probability of being lamuyo or blocky type. The model generated good forecasts for several years in the future, with stable confidence intervals, however, it is advisable to incorporate the new data presented each year and re-run the model to rectify the projections, since these models were created to be applied to short-term forecasts. |
| Land: | Portal de Revistas TEC |
| Institution: | Instituto Tecnológico de Costa Rica |
| Repositorio: | Portal de Revistas TEC |
| Sprache: | Español |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/3687 |
| Online Zugang: | https://revistas.tec.ac.cr/index.php/eagronegocios/article/view/3687 |
| Stichwort: | Modelos econométricos series de tiempo modelos ARIMA demanda chile dulce |