Optimizing the quarantine cost for suppression of the COVID-19 epidemic in Mexico

 

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلفون: Choque Rivero, Abdon E., Khailov, Evgenii N., Grigorieva, Ellina V.
التنسيق: artículo original
الحالة:Versión publicada
تاريخ النشر:2020
الوصف:This paper is one of the few attempts to use the optimal control theory to find optimal quarantine strategies for eradication of the spread of the COVID-19 infection in the Mexican human population. This is achieved by introducing into the SEIR model a bounded control function of time that reflects these quarantine measures. The objective function to be minimized is the weighted sum of the total infection level in the population and the total cost of the quarantine. An optimal control problem reflecting the search for an effective quarantine strategy is stated and solved analytically and numerically. The properties of the corresponding optimal control are established analytically by applying the Pontryagin maximum principle. The optimal solution is obtained numerically by solving the two-point boundary value problem for the maximum principle using MATLAB software. A detailed discussion of the results and the corresponding practical conclusions are presented.
البلد:Portal de Revistas UCR
المؤسسة:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
اللغة:Inglés
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OAI Identifier:oai:portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/42077
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/matematica/article/view/42077
كلمة مفتاحية:coronavirus
quarantine cost
Pontryagin maximum principal
optimal control
costo de una cuarentena
principio del máximo de Pontryagin
control óptimo