Inflation expectations in Costa Rica

 

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Alfaro Ureña, Alonso, Monge Badilla, Carlos
Format: artículo original
Status:Versión publicada
Publication Date:2014
Description:The Banco Central de Costa Rica (BCCR) is currently transitioning to an Inflation Targeting (IT) regime. In such context, it is relevant for the monetary authority to characterize in the most complete way possible the inflation expectations of the population, both in the particular elements of the forecasts and in the processes by which agents take information into account for their individual predictions. This paper documents the analysis of the inflation expectations data contained in the Monthly Survey of Inflation and Exchange Rate Expectations. We test several hypotheses such as rational and adaptive expectations. The results show significant biases in those expectations, while there is also a lack of learning from past errors by the agents surveyed.
Country:Portal de Revistas UCR
Institution:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
Language:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/15054
Online Access:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/economicas/article/view/15054
Keyword:METAS DE INFLACIÓN
ENCUESTAS
BANCA CENTRAL
EXPECTATIVAS RACIONALES
EXPECTATIVAS ADAPTATIVAS
INFLATION TARGETING
SURVEYS
CENTRAL BANKING
RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
ADAPTATIVE EXPECTATIONS