Nowcasting well-being in Costa Rica: A methodology to estimate and nowcast poverty and inequality with greater frequency.

 

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書誌詳細
著者: Huang Zheng, Esteban, Oviedo C., Luis Ángel, Paredes, Saúl, Robalino, Juan
フォーマット: artículo original
状態:Versión publicada
出版日付:2025
その他の書誌記述:In Costa Rica, poverty and inequality indicators are traditionally reported on an annual basis, limiting their utility for timely analysis and responsive policymaking. This study develops and applies a novel methodology to generate monthly estimates of household poverty rates and Gini coefficients from June 2020 to November 2023. Results indicate statistically insignificant differences between the proposed estimates and official data for most periods analyzed. The research makes three substantive contributions. First, it reveals considerable monthly variability in poverty and inequality, underscoring the limitations of annual reporting in capturing short-term fluctuations. Second, the proposed methodology significantly reduces information lag, which improves the ability to make decisions. Third, findings demonstrate the pivotal role of labor market dynamism in driving changes in poverty.
国:Portal de Revistas UCR
機関:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
言語:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:portal.revistas.ucr.ac.cr:article/2574
オンライン・アクセス:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/reconomicas/article/view/2574
キーワード:HOUSEHOLD INCOME
LABOR MARKET
POVERTY
INEQUALITY
WELL-BEING
NOWCASTING
C23
C53
I3
INGRESOS
MERCADO LABORAL
POBREZA
DESIGUALDAD
BIENESTAR
PRONÓSTICO