Nowcasting well-being in Costa Rica: A methodology to estimate and nowcast poverty and inequality with greater frequency.

 

Wedi'i Gadw mewn:
Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Awduron: Huang Zheng, Esteban, Oviedo C., Luis Ángel, Paredes, Saúl, Robalino, Juan
Fformat: artículo original
Statws:Versión publicada
Dyddiad Cyhoeddi:2025
Disgrifiad:In Costa Rica, poverty and inequality indicators are traditionally reported on an annual basis, limiting their utility for timely analysis and responsive policymaking. This study develops and applies a novel methodology to generate monthly estimates of household poverty rates and Gini coefficients from June 2020 to November 2023. Results indicate statistically insignificant differences between the proposed estimates and official data for most periods analyzed. The research makes three substantive contributions. First, it reveals considerable monthly variability in poverty and inequality, underscoring the limitations of annual reporting in capturing short-term fluctuations. Second, the proposed methodology significantly reduces information lag, which improves the ability to make decisions. Third, findings demonstrate the pivotal role of labor market dynamism in driving changes in poverty.
Gwlad:Portal de Revistas UCR
Sefydliad:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UCR
Iaith:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:portal.revistas.ucr.ac.cr:article/2574
Mynediad Ar-lein:https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/reconomicas/article/view/2574
Allweddair:HOUSEHOLD INCOME
LABOR MARKET
POVERTY
INEQUALITY
WELL-BEING
NOWCASTING
C23
C53
I3
INGRESOS
MERCADO LABORAL
POBREZA
DESIGUALDAD
BIENESTAR
PRONÓSTICO