Nowcasting well-being in Costa Rica: A methodology to estimate and nowcast poverty and inequality with greater frequency.
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| Autori: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Natura: | artículo original |
| Status: | Versión publicada |
| Data di pubblicazione: | 2025 |
| Descrizione: | In Costa Rica, poverty and inequality indicators are traditionally reported on an annual basis, limiting their utility for timely analysis and responsive policymaking. This study develops and applies a novel methodology to generate monthly estimates of household poverty rates and Gini coefficients from June 2020 to November 2023. Results indicate statistically insignificant differences between the proposed estimates and official data for most periods analyzed. The research makes three substantive contributions. First, it reveals considerable monthly variability in poverty and inequality, underscoring the limitations of annual reporting in capturing short-term fluctuations. Second, the proposed methodology significantly reduces information lag, which improves the ability to make decisions. Third, findings demonstrate the pivotal role of labor market dynamism in driving changes in poverty. |
| Stato: | Portal de Revistas UCR |
| Istituzione: | Universidad de Costa Rica |
| Repositorio: | Portal de Revistas UCR |
| Lingua: | Español |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:portal.revistas.ucr.ac.cr:article/2574 |
| Accesso online: | https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/reconomicas/article/view/2574 |
| Keyword: | HOUSEHOLD INCOME LABOR MARKET POVERTY INEQUALITY WELL-BEING NOWCASTING C23 C53 I3 INGRESOS MERCADO LABORAL POBREZA DESIGUALDAD BIENESTAR PRONÓSTICO |