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Shared Prospective Models of Land Use and Vegetation for the Mexico-Guatemala Transboundary Area

 

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Autors: Nuñez Hernández, Juan Manuel, Orozco Avila, Alejandra Amaranta, Galeana Pizaña, José Mauricio
Format: artículo original
Estat:Versión publicada
Data de publicació:2022
Descripció:The shared border between Mexico and Guatemala is a complex region to analyze due to the diverse dynamics between both countries. One threat to the area is the land-use change, where many drivers of change and environmental conditions make it a priority to analyze. This research studies the land-use changes that occurred between 1990 and 2010; these are used as a basis for constructing a trend scenario to the year 2030 through the use of the multilayer perceptron neural network. The resulting scenario shows the growth of agriculture and urban areas, as well as the loss of forests, other vegetation, and water bodies. This information highlights the need to analyze the socio-environmental implications that this could bring about.
Pais:Portal de Revistas UNA
Institution:Universidad Nacional de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UNA
Idioma:Español
OAI Identifier:oai:www.revistas.una.ac.cr:article/15152
Accés en línia:https://www.revistas.una.ac.cr/index.php/geografica/article/view/15152
Paraula clau:land-use change
socioeconomic dynamics
drivers of change
historic analysis
trend scenario
the year 2030
cambio de uso de suelo
dinámicas socioeconómicas
variables de cambio
análisis históricos
escenario tendencial
año 2030